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Emerging Terrorist Threat to Scandinavia (b)(3)

|(b)(1) The Scandinavian countries—Norway, Finland,

(b)(3) Sweden, and Denmark-have been relatively free of terrorist activity, compared with Central Europe, and likely will remain so for the near future. However, recent trends in terrorist operations suggest that, in Other groups have ties to Scandinavia as well. the longer term, Scandinavia could well face a

Norwegian radical leftist groups may have links to the significantly increased threat from terrorists. We Irish Republican Army. Members of the Armenian expect the threat will vary among the countries, with Secret Army for the Liberation of Armenia (ASALA) Sweden and Denmark the most likely to experience reside in Denmark, and the Kurdish Workers Party terrorism. Moreover, we expect that any increase in (PKK) is active in Sweden and Denmark. Dissension terrorism probably would be related to causes external within the PKK apparently sparked three attacks on to Scandinavia-principally the spillover of Middle Kurds in Sweden and Denmark last year that left two Eastern issues-rather than terrorism b(b)(3)'ected persons dead and one wounded. PKK activity has against local Scandinavian targets.

been especially unsettling to Stockholm since there is

some evidence the group may have been involved in Terrorists from outside the region have struck in Olaf Palme's assassination. The Stockholm police Scandinavia on several occasions in recent years. For have pursued the possible connection aggressively but example, a US airline office and a Jewish synagogue have failed to develop compelling evidence. Several in Copenhagen, Denmark, were bombed in July 1985. Kurds were arrested in January 1987 but

(b)(3) In 1986 two embassies were attacked: the Soviet subsequently were released. Embassy was bombed in December, and radicals seized the Peruvian Embassy for several hours last Since 1984 the Scandinavian countries have April. Also last April, a small bomb exploded outside experienced an influx of immigrants from the Middle a US airline office in Stockholm, and the African East who could be tapped for support of terrorist National Congress office there was bombed last operations.

(b)(1) September. The most dramatic example of the region's vulnerability to terrorism was the murder of Swedish Prime Minister Olaf Palme on 28 February

In Norway the 1986; the perpetratorinn heir nationality are still arrival of as many as 100,000 immigrants from the

"(b)(3) unknown.

Middle East, Africa, and Asia has hindered the

performance of background checks by authorities. Terrorist-related activities have recently prompted Denmark has accepted approximately 6,000 Middle more action from authorities. A Swedish national of Eastern immigrants since 1985. Although no figures Middle East origin was one of six persons arrested in are available, Sweden, and possibly Finland, may October 1986 in London for plotting to kill the Israeli have experienced a similar influx.

(b)(3) Ambassador to Great Britain. The Swede reportedly was a courier for the Abu Nidal organization. London Improved counterterrorist efforts elsewhere in deported him to Sweden without prosecuting him. Western Europe may force terrorist groups to look for Stockholm ordered the expulsion of the deputy chief fresh ground for their activities. Terrorists may find of the PLO Information Office last December

Scandinavia an inviting option because it has less because Swedish security officials believed she had widespread contacts with terrorist groups, possibly including Abu Nidal. (b)(1)

(b)(3)

19

Secret DI TR 87-003 12 February 1987

Approved for Release: 2017/09/13 C05922883