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Washington, DC. 20505

DIRECTORATE OF INTELLIGENCE

12 September 1988

(b)(3)

Sweden: Election Outlook

Summary

September opinion polls indicate that Sweden's ruling Social Democratic Party (SDP) will probably be able to form a new government following the 18 September national election. The SDP may lose the working majority it traditionally secured with support from the Left-Party Communists (VPK), however, and have to depend on the passive support of the upstart Environmental Party (Greens) in order to form a minority government. Polls conducted in June--prior to a scandal involving a government sponsored secret investigation into the murder of former Prime Minister Olof Palme in 1986--had shown the SDP in a dead heat with the nonsocialist bloc consisting of the Moderate, Liberal and Center Parties. Current polls indicate a decline in SOP popularity--probably reflecting a loss of SDP votes to thin

  • b)(339ens, rather than an increase in support for the

This memorandum was prepared by

Office of European Analysis and

Office of Leadership Analysis. Comments and queries are welcome and may be directed to the Chief,

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FILE

EUR M 88-20128

DATE

LDA M 88-20035

9-1588

EUR M 88-20128 DOC NO LDA M 88=20035

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OIR

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P & PD

(b)(3) CONFIDENTIAL Approved for Release: 2017/09/13 C06141873